wiar 09-20-23

MFwebsite2020researchWhat I Am Reading

September 20 (Wednesday)

Latest Morning Briefing Executive Summary: What’s Up With Earnings?
Today, we examine the flight paths of S&P 500 companies’ revenues, earnings, and profit margins through Q2’s earnings season. … Forward revenues per share rose to a record high the week before last, and analysts project revenues growth more than doubling next year to nearly 5%. … Forward earnings rose to a record high last week; it does a good job of predicting the earnings outlook during economic expansions. … The forward profit margin has edged up since bottoming in March, after dropping from last year’s record high. … All things considered, we’re sticking with our upbeat earnings forecasts and S&P 500 price targets for now.
(subscribers’ link)

YRI
Daily Markets Overview
Replay of Dr. Ed’s webinar on September 17.

Markets
Is This The Beginning of the Bursting of the BBB Bubble? | B
Gas Prices Have Crept Higher This Summer, a Challenge for the Fed | N
Wall Street Regulator Wants to See ESG Funds Deliver on Investments | B
The Yuan and Yen Need the Fed’s Help. They Might Not Get It. | W
U.S. Treasury yields: investors look to Fed interest rate decision | C

Central banks
FOMC September 2023: Fed to Pause Interest Rate Hikes for Second Time This Year | B
Fed projections to show if ‘soft landing’ is new baseline … or baseless | R
Take Fed forecast with a grain of salt. It has a terrible track record | C
Fed interest rate moves affected by government shutdown | C

US
Weekly mortgage demand rises, driven by a strange surge in refinancing | C
America’s Biggest Landlords Can’t Find Houses to Buy Either | W
American Labor’s Real Problem: It Isn’t Productive Enough | W
A good old government shutdown is exactly what we need right now | The Hill
Nearly Half of Young Adults Are Living Back Home With Parents | B

Geopolitics & trade
German Industry Defies Rising Pressure to Limit China Exposure | W

Industries & companies
Autos: Auto union worker strike reveals Joe Biden inflation hypocrisy | P
Autos: UAW Strikes Mercedes Parts Plant While Union Eyes More Targets | B
Consumer: General Mills’ Earnings Show Inflation, Supply-Chain Issues Easing | W
Grocery stores: Publix, Florida’s favorite grocery store, explained | Vox
Retail: US Retail Workers Are Quitting Facing Low Pay, Crime, Long Hours | B
Retail: Dollar General Employees Say It’s a Terrible Place to Work | B

Artificial Intelligence & Technology
AI Accelerates Ability to Program Biology Like Software | W
Google DeepMind’s AI Tool Could Pinpoint Our Genetic Faults | B
Elon Musk’s Neuralink is recruiting patients for its first human trial | C

Beyond markets
The Billionaire Keeping TikTok on Phones in the U.S. | W