wiar 04-08-22

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April 08 (Friday)

Latest Morning Briefing Executive Summary:  Fed’s Hawks, China’s New Priority & Europe’s Gas Seekers
The newly released minutes of the FOMC’s March meeting suggest that even the Committee’s long-time doves now are hawks. So expect upcoming rate hikes of 50bps, not 25bps. The Fed aims to tamp down inflation without igniting a recession; investors are skeptical, but we expect inflation will moderate later this year, bringing the doves back. … Also: Can China achieve its heady economic growth goals amid a Covid resurgence, strict lockdown policies, and all the economic disruptions caused by both? We doubt it. … And: A look at the odds arrayed against EU countries trying to wean themselves off Russian oil and gas.
(subscribers’ link)

YRI
Daily Markets Overview
See subscribers’ link below for today’s Morning Briefing.
Replay of Dr. Ed’s webinar on April 4.

Markets
Stocks Finish Higher, Bonds Extend Fed-Driven Selloff | W
Stocks rally late, 10-yr U.S. Treasury yield touches 3-yr high | R
Carnage is epic in bonds due to Fed’s inflation error: Jim Bianco | C

Energy
Shell Warns of Up to $5 Billion Hit From Russia Exit | W
EU Backs Russian Coal Ban in First Punch at Energy Revenue | B

Central banks
Fed’s James Bullard says interest rate policy is ‘behind the curve’ | C
Bank of Japan Stocked Up On ETFs In $450 Billion Buying Spree, Now They’re Stuck | B

US
US weekly jobless claims | C
Rising mortgage rates cause more home sellers to lower asking prices | C
Ketanji Brown Jackson confirmed to Supreme Court, first Black woman justice | C
New York UBI Program Focuses on New Moms, Pregnant Women | B
The new entitlement of the American consumer | Vox

China
Manufacturers Grind to a Halt in China as Covid Lockdowns Expand | W
China uses AI software to improve its surveillance capabilities | R

Geopolitics & trade
The Russian Patriarch Just Gave His Most Dangerous Speech Yet — And Almost No One in the West Has Noticed
Russians discuss killing civilians in radio intercepts by German intelligence | WP
How Ukraine Used a Ragtag Arsenal to Thwart Russia’s Air Attacks | W
Ukraine Calls for More Arms as It Girds for Heavier Fighting Against Russia in the East | W
Horrors of Ukraine’s Bucha Laid Bare on Yablunska Street | W

Industries & companies
Consumer discretionary: Walmart says it is raising pay for truck drivers, starting training program | C
Consumer discretionary: Walmart Dangles $110,000 Starting Pay to Lure Truck Drivers | W
Pharma: Medicare Limits Payments for Biogen’s Alzheimer’s Drug | W

Crypto
Crypto-Like Digital Dollar at Least Several Years Away, Yellen Says | W

Virus & climate
U.S. court reinstates Biden federal employee COVID vaccine mandate | R
Shanghai, in Lockdown, Struggles to Feed Itself | W
Rising rivers force more Sydney flood evacuations as rain eases | R

Technology
New lithium technology can help the world go green — if it works | R

Beyond markets
How Many Billionaires Are There, Anyway? | N