November 28 (Monday)
Latest Morning Briefing Executive Summary: 2023 Is Coming!
The consensus is now bracing for a 2023 recession that tempers inflation and ends the Fed’s reign of tightening but also depresses corporate earnings, suggesting more downside for stocks’ valuation multiples. We’re more optimistic, expecting no broad-based recession but a rolling one, no continued bear market in stocks but sluggish earnings limiting their upside. … Both scenarios hinge on inflation: If it remains persistently high despite having peaked, expect a broad-based recession and all that entails. If not, the 2023 outlook will be brighter. … Also: A look at data supporting both soft- and hard-landing scenarios. … And: What the Fed might do next.
(subscribers’ link)
YRI
Daily Markets Overview
Replay of Dr. Ed’s webinar on November 14.
Markets
Stocks Are on the Rise, but Earnings Could Drag Them Down Again | W
Xi Jinping’s big bang for Chinese stock markets | E
Oil Prices Face Fresh Volatility With New Russia Sanctions, OPEC Decision | W
Global
Globalized Supply Chain Brings More-Turbulent Food Prices | W
Energy
The Next U.S. Energy Revolution Is Here | BR
The costs and consequences of Europe’s energy crisis are growing | E
US I
Why the nation is once again close to a devastating freight railroad strike | MSN
With unions aligned, timeline for rail strike and railroad emergency prep is now clear | MSN
Biden’s Railroad Deal Falls Apart | W
US II
New Help for a Group at Risk for Suicide: Middle-Aged Men | W
California’s Homelessness Problem Pits Gov. Gavin Newsom Against Mayors | W
Employers Rethink Need for College Degrees in Tight Labor Market | W
Europe
German Consumers Are Boosting the Economy. These Stocks Stand to Gain. | BR
Europe faces an enduring crisis of energy and geopolitics | E
China
China’s Economy Faces Challenges Despite Latest Moves to Stimulate Growth | W
Clashes in Shanghai as COVID protests flare across China | R
Protests against Covid controls erupt across China | C
China Could Reignite Its Growth. How to Play It While Limiting Risks. | BR
Geopolitics & trade
In Ukraine, living as normal is an act of defiance | E
Zelenskiy warns Ukraine to brace for more Russian attacks | R
South Korea govt plans first talks with striking truckers | R
Industries & companies
Logistics: The Logistics and Supply-Chain Slowdown Has Begun. Here’s How to Take Advantage. | W
Media: Disney is the biggest winner and loser at the Thanksgiving box office | C
Retail: Black Friday online sales top $9 billion in new record | C
Retail: Black Friday 2022: Walmart overtakes Amazon in shoppers’ search for bargains | C
Tech: Tech’s reality check: How the industry lost $7.4 trillion in one year | C
Technology
Quantum Computing Will Change the World. How to Play the Stocks. | BR
Beyond markets
Caroline Ellison Was a Little-Known Crypto Trader. Then FTX Collapsed. | NYT
What is long-termism? | E
The U.S. is ‘certainly’ still in a Covid-19 pandemic, Dr. Fauci says | C